Creating Futures

Waikato Projections Group

The Waikato Projections Group

The Waikato Projections Group consists of staff representatives from Hamilton City Council, all the district councils and Waikato Regional Council. It also includes representation from Waikato District Health Board and Waka Kotahi NZTA (Waikato Regional Transport Model).

The purpose of the Working Group is to plan and implement a process to provide a regionally consistent set of future population and economic projections for the Waikato based on the 2018 census so that they meet the needs of individual councils for their work in preparing their next LTP (2021) and other planning/strategies (Urban Development NPS, Infrastructure Strategy), as well as sub/interregional spatial planning (Future Proof, Hamilton to Auckland Corridor).


Planning for the 2018 Waikato Projections

Work is currently underway to support the development of the 2018 Waikato Projections. This involves the update of the WISE model to provide for a 2018 start date, updated components include a new 2018 land use layer (including updated zonong, accessibility and facilities/services layers), a new population model, updated population data based on 2018 census, and updated economic data.

Further details and a timeline for the projection deliverables is available here.

Latest Update Report to Waikato Projections Group (29 October 2020).

Document on Projections Comparisons (comparing Waikato and Stats NZ estimates and projections). 

Stats NZ final subnational population estimates 2018 (released 23 Sept 2020) - these are the base data used for the Waikato Projections 2018-2068.


Meeting and Workshop Reports

The following is a record of the minutes and materials presented at the Waikato Projection working group workshops.

Update Report to Waikato Projections Group (15 July 2020).

Update report to Future Proof (13 June 2018) and Regional Planning Managers (25 May 2018)


31st July 2018

Meeting Notes


Revised Proposal for Population & Household Projections (University of Waikato, Michael Cameron, August 2018  


26th March 2018

Meeting Notes 


Waikato Projection Working Group - Proposal for Populatiopn & Household projections (University of Waikato, Michael Cameron, March 2018)


 22nd September 2017

Meeting Notes

Projections-Data-Needs-Issues-and-Options-Summary-Sept 2017


29th March 2017



Waikato-ProjectionsNotes-workshop-29-Mar-2017.docx Waipa_2050


20th December 2016

List-of-improvements-to-WISE-and-outputs-of-Population-and-Land-Use-ProjectionsDec2016.docx Notes-workshop-20-Dec-2106.docx


PopulationProjectionsUoWStatsNZComparisonDec2016.xlsx 22_Sept_17


10th November 2016



Projections process.pdf

Waikato projections overview.pdf