Creating Futures

Projections Working Group

The Waikato Projections - Working group

The Waikato Projections Working Group consists of staff representatives from all the District councils and Waikato Regional Council. It also includes representation from District Health Board and Waikato's Regional Transport Model.

The purpose of the Working Group is to plan and implement a process to provide a regionally consistent set of future population and economic projections for the Waikato based on the 2018 census so that they met the needs of individual councils for their work in preparing their next LTP (2021) and other planning/strategies (Urban Growth - NPS).


Planning for the 2018 Waikato Projections

Work is currently underway to support the development of the 2018 Waikato Projections. This involves the update of the WISE model to provide for a 2018 start date, updated components include a new 2018 land use layer, new population model, updated population data based on 2018 census, and updated economic data.

The update of the WISE model and subsequent development of the Waikato projection are dependant on the release of 2018 census data from Stats NZ, the current timeline for 2018 Waikato Projections is based on expected data release date from Stats NZ. These may be subject to change.

Click here to see the current timeline and update process for the generation of the new 2018 Waikato Projections (as at May 2020).

Update Message on Timeline for Projections Update in 2020 (23 April 2020) - additional document on Projections Comparisons


Meeting and Workshop Reports

The following is a record of the minutes and materials presented at the Waikato Projection working group workshops.

Update report to Future Proof (13 June 2018) and Regional Planning Managers (25 May 2018)

31st July 2018

Meeting Notes


Revised Proposal for Population & Household Projections (University of Waikato, Michael Cameron, August 2018  


26th March 2018

Meeting Notes 


Waikato Projection Working Group - Proposal for Populatiopn & Household projections (University of Waikato, Michael Cameron, March 2018)


 22nd September 2017

Meeting Notes

Projections-Data-Needs-Issues-and-Options-Summary-Sept 2017


29th March 2017



Waikato-ProjectionsNotes-workshop-29-Mar-2017.docx Waipa_2050


20th December 2016

List-of-improvements-to-WISE-and-outputs-of-Population-and-Land-Use-ProjectionsDec2016.docx Notes-workshop-20-Dec-2106.docx


PopulationProjectionsUoWStatsNZComparisonDec2016.xlsx 22_Sept_17


10th November 2016



Projections process.pdf

Waikato projections overview.pdf